Non-Bayesian Inference: Causal Structure Trumps Correlation

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Non-Bayesian Inference: Causal Structure Trumps Correlation

The study tests the hypothesis that conditional probability judgments can be influenced by causal links between the target event and the evidence even when the statistical relations among variables are held constant. Three experiments varied the causal structure relating three variables and found that (a) the target event was perceived as more probable when it was linked to evidence by a causal...

متن کامل

For Objective Causal Inference, Design Trumps Analysis

For obtaining causal inferences that are objective, and therefore have the best chance of revealing scientific truths, carefully designed and executed randomized experiments are generally considered to be the gold standard. Observational studies, in contrast, are generally fraught with problems that compromise any claim for objectivity of the resulting causal inferences. The thesis here is that...

متن کامل

Bayesian approach to inference of population structure

Methods of inferring the population structure‎, ‎its applications in identifying disease models as well as foresighting the physical and mental situation of human beings have been finding ever-increasing importance‎. ‎In this article‎, ‎first‎, ‎motivation and significance of studying the problem of population structure is explained‎. ‎In the next section‎, ‎the applications of inference of p...

متن کامل

Bayesian Matching for Causal Inference

In this paper we provide Bayesian matching methods for finding the causal effect of a binary intake variable x ∈ {0, 1} on an outcome of interest y. One technique we introduce is a Bayesian variant of the classic Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983, 1984) propensity score matching method. We show how it is possible to find the posterior distribution of the Bayesian matched sample average treatment effect...

متن کامل

Causal Inference and Understanding Causal Structure

Acknowledgements I would like to give special thanks to my advisor, Professor Kevin Hoover who took my shortcomings and successes with equal stride, and who struggled through the process alongside me. But how will you look for something when you don't in the least know what it is? How on earth are you going to set up something you don't know as the object of your search? To put it another way, ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Cognitive Science

سال: 2012

ISSN: 0364-0213

DOI: 10.1111/j.1551-6709.2012.01262.x